Sunday, November 9, 2014

Nuclear Free World

In Thomas Schelling’s article, “A World Without Nuclear Weapons,” he shares a concept that embodies just that: what would the world be like without nuclear weapons? Although this idea sounds ideal to work towards a safer world, it actually contains many flaws. Since nuclear weapons became a potential resolution to war in the middle of the 20th century, we have attempted to find ways to stabilize the amount and the usage of these weapons of mass destruction. However, the idea of a nuclear free world goes directly against the world’s way of thinking for the past sixty years. The idea of “nuclear free” would is an interesting idea worth discussion; however, it is merely a hypothetical idea rather than an actual solution towards a safer world.
            The first flaw of this concept is that it relies too much on assumptions. If you are a state with nuclear weapons that agrees to disband the owning of nuclear weapons, how can you be sure that others will follow your lead? Also, once following the initiative to either declare or to sign a document to rid your state of all nuclear weapons, actually taking them down reveals a large vulnerability in your national security. Not only do not have these weapons as leverage between yourself and another country, but you would also leave the country open to nuclear attack. If your country does not have nuclear weapons to retaliate with, then what would stop another country from attacking you with one?
The main problem with this idea is that it focuses too much on having trust in other countries. How can it be determined that all nations truly do not have nuclear weapons? It cannot, because they can only rely on trust, which is very skeptical. Even if there were some sort of international nuclear inspection, who is to say a nation could not simply just hide their nuclear weapons in a remote location. Simply put, they could not enforce checking the entire world for nuclear weapons. Schelling makes a point on how easily nuclear weapons can be made, “…enough plutonium to make a bomb could be hidden in the freezing compartment of my refrigerator, or to evade a radiation detection could be hidden at the bottom of the water in a well” (Schelling, 126). Schelling’s argument is that the only way to stop nuclear weapons is through whistle blowers or the belief that all “responsible” governments will also take action in ridding their nations of all nuclear weapons. The problem with this thinking is that not all other nations are “responsible” and therefore will not follow this. Even if a nuclear power did rid themselves of all said weapons, how could we know that they will not simply recreate the same weapons in times of crisis or war. Since they already have all of the resources, it would be easy for them to rebuild them at a rapid pace. Therefore, no power would truly be nuclear free, for they could just as easily become a nuclear power once again.
            The concept of a nuclear free world is hypothetical and in the real world not a possible solution in dealing with the control of nuclear weapons. At this point in time, we must realize that dealing nuclear weapons in international relations is inevitable. However, we must also know that this is an issue that deals with control rather than destruction. In this concept, there will still need to be trust between nations that they will not use their weapons lightly and without reasonable grounds to even use them as a threat to other nations. However, there is much more room for trust in the nuclear deterrence, which allows the trust between nations to actually work.

Schelling, Thomas C. “A World Without Nuclear Weapons.” Foreign Affairs. p. 124-129. file:///Users/markyp923/Downloads/Schelling%20Daed%202006%20(1).pdf.






6 comments:

  1. I agree that a world without nuclear power is impossible. Once you have tasted power, it is very difficult to go back to a weaker way of living. I also agree that Schelling makes the mistake of believing that countries will willingly give up their nuclear power.

    I would also say that it would not be in the best interest of the state to give up nuclear power since it would make them vulnerable to the dangers of future attacks from other states. The goal of a state is to secure their borders; and if that means using nuclear power, they should since it will protect them from any future attack.

    However, a question to think about: If we don't trust one another, how can we live in the global world?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thomas, I believe that there is room for trust in the world when we are not hiding weapons from each other. If we know which nations have nuclear weapons, then it is possible to trust that they will not use them because they too will know that we have nuclear power to respond with. However, if all nations "give up" nuclear power, it will be much harder to trust them to not simply regain their nuclear weapons behind our backs. Therefore, with the current system in place I have trust in other nations.

      Delete
    2. Thomas, another answer to your question is: when have we all ever trusted each other in the past? I personally cannot think of a time in history where the world has trusted each other in every situation, and yet it all seems to function well enough anyway. Yes, the world is one that is completely global today, but that does not mean that we have to trust each other in order to live well. Almost no country in the world completely trusts another, even when they are allied. This isn't a problem however, as everything seems to be functioning well. Maybe I am being too narrow minded, but it is just something to consider.

      Delete
  2. I agree with the statement that a nuclear free world is nothing more than a hypothetical scenario. Technology progresses so rapidly in all areas including nuclear development. It serves as a form of defense, and as Mark said disbanding from owning nuclear weapons is very risky. If we gave up nuclear weapons and trusted everyone to do the same, we would become vulnerable and could be attacked without the aggressor fearing retaliation.

    I also agree with the comments that trusting everyone to give up nuclear weapons is not a viable option. Like Mark said it would be much harder to trust nations without having the ability to retaliate if we were to be attacked. In theory this idea sounds nice, but it simply is not realistic and it relies to heavily on assumptions that people will act rationally.

    ReplyDelete
  3. So if not all states are "responsible" actors, is it really better to let them have nuclear weapons? What sort of states do we think of as responsible or not responsible? Is it a learned behavior or something that states are unable to shake off, something that rests in their regime type or population formation?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, you make a good point about what it really means to be "responsible." However, if we allow every actor to have nuclear weapons, it is much less likely than any actor would actually use them. In today's world, we have to realize that many states will have nuclear weapons, but as long as they know the consequences of their orders to use them (retaliation, full on nuclear war), even the irresponsible actors most likely wouldn't dare to use them for almost any circumstance. I believe that different states usually have connotations and opinions against them that are widely accepted by the world. These are very difficult to shake off because it takes a lot of change in a state to change the world's opinion. For example, it would be very difficult for the United States to judge a country such as Iraq or North Korea to be responsible. The precedents set forward by prior and/or current leaders shape how the rest of the world perceives them.

      Delete